PRESIDENTIAL RACE
Poll # 1 that I looked at was on polltrack.com, it showed the electoral votes for each state and the percentage of votes that Obama and McCain each have as of today. I chose 5 states to observe, bothe democrat and republican so I could see the perspective of the states on the candidates.
States
california 55 ev, obama 53.3% McCain 38.8% safe obama
virginia 13 ev, obama 51.8% McCain 43.7% leaning obama
texas 34 ev, obama 38.0% McCain 50.7 safe McCain
north carolina 15 ev, obama 47.9% McCain 46.7% too close to call
colorado 9 ev, obama 50.4% McCain 44.6% leaning obama
These numbers look as if obama is going to win the election in popular votes, yet looking at the map with color codes saying which candidate is safe and leaning, the colors of red repubs and blue dems look pretty easy with gray states splitting them up.
I also took a look at another polling site that had alot of interesting info that had just been updated. The website itsself said, the race does come down to the states and McCain is behind in most of the key battleground states. Although, It’s the first time since September 25 that McCain’s support has reached 46%, but Obama has now enjoyed a four-to-eight point advantage for twenty-one straight days. And looking back at one of the states that i had looked at on the other polling site, with just under three weeks to go before Election Day, Senator Barack Obama leads Senator John McCain in Virginia by 6.0% among likely voters, 49.2% to 43.2%. Obama’s lead appears to be driven by voter concerns about the economy.
SENATE RACE
-2008 Virginia Senate General Election: Gilmore (R) 31.5% vs Warner (D) 58.4%
-Regionally, Warner continues to hold double-digit leads in every part of the state, including a 31-point edge, 58-27, in Hampton Roads. He also leads by double digits among voters in every age group and among both men and women.
-Warner enjoys the support of more than 90 percent of his fellow Democrats and has the backing of nearly six of every 10 independents. He also was supported by nearly one in four Republicans.
Polling in modern elections i believe makes a big differnce in the final results. It shows the opinions of many people and how they feel about the candidates ideas and ways in which they are going to improve our nation. I find the polls pretty accurate, although if McCain makes a tricky move he may jump into the lead towards the end of the election, but the polls for both Senate and Presidential races seem moderately correct.
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3 comments:
I dunno any tricky moves that McCain could make to move ahead of Obama but he better start doing somehting. It looks to me that Obama has it in the bag. But really that thought is in the heads of many Americans and could result in a poor voter turnout.
i think mark warners definately going to win the senate race. gilmore is very far behind and hasnt really been moving up in the polls at all, so i think its pretty safe to say that mark warner will win
I agree that the polls are accurate for the most part. It seems that they are usually only a few points off from the final results. I think the polls, however, have a negative influence on the public as they may persuade one to vote a particular way.
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